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http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/
The states, said Louis
Brandeis, are the laboratories of democracy — although that may not
work as well as it used to now that the “I’m not a scientist” wing has
taken complete control of the GOP. Still, state experiences can tell the
rest of us something. There’s been a lot of talk lately about how the
great Kansas tax-cut experiment is doing, namely very badly. But what
about the anti-Kansas — California? It’s a state with a Democratic
supermajority. Its policies aren’t left-wing in the way Kansas’s are
right-wing, but it’s enough of a liberal agenda to have the right
frothing at the mouth. So how is it going?
I wrote about the California comeback more than a year ago, to much vitriolic scorn from the usual suspects. But how’s it going now?
Well, David Cay Johnston
tells us that job growth remains fast despite predictions of doom from
tax hikes. I found myself wondering, however, whether this was just
bounceback from an especially severe slump — after all, California was a
major housing bubble state, suffered for it, and you would expect a
period of relatively fast growth thereafter even if overall performance
was lagging the nation.
If you look at the
numbers, however, what you see is that while fast job growth has indeed
largely reflected recovery from an especially deep slump, at this point
California’s performance (blue) since the Great Recession began has
fully matched that of the nation (red); that is, there is no sign of
growth being hurt by liberal policies or whatever:
Meanwhile, the budget is in good shape, with room for some much-needed spending increases.
Oh, and California — which enthusiastically went about implementing health reform — appears to have cut the number of uninsured by half in the first year of Obamacare.
Is it a miracle? No —
or at any rate not unless you consider any deviation from supply-side
predictions miraculous. But it’s looking like a pretty solid record.
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