-http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/20/opinion/paul-krugman-trillion-dollar-fraudsters.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=c-column-top-span-region®ion=c-column-top-span-region&WT.nav=c-column-top-span-region&_r=0----------------------------------------------------
By
now it’s a Republican Party tradition: Every year the party produces a
budget that allegedly slashes deficits, but which turns out to contain a
trillion-dollar “magic asterisk” — a line that promises huge spending
cuts and/or revenue increases, but without explaining where the money is
supposed to come from.
But
the just-released budgets from the House and Senate majorities break
new ground. Each contains not one but two trillion-dollar magic
asterisks: one on spending, one on revenue.
And that’s actually an understatement. If either budget were to become
law, it would leave the federal government several trillion dollars
deeper in debt than claimed, and that’s just in the first decade.
You
might be tempted to shrug this off, since these budgets will not, in
fact, become law. Or you might say that this is what all politicians do.
But it isn’t. The modern G.O.P.’s raw fiscal dishonesty is something
new in American politics. And that’s telling us something important
about what has happened to half of our political spectrum.
So,
about those budgets: both claim drastic reductions in federal spending.
Some of those spending reductions are specified: There would be savage
cuts in food stamps, similarly savage cuts in Medicaid over and above
reversing the recent expansion, and an end to Obamacare’s health
insurance subsidies. Rough estimates suggest that either plan would roughly double the number of Americans without health insurance.
But both also claim more than a trillion dollars in further cuts to
mandatory spending, which would almost surely have to come out of
Medicare or Social Security. What form would these further cuts take? We
get no hint.
Meanwhile,
both budgets call for repeal of the Affordable Care Act, including the
taxes that pay for the insurance subsidies. That’s $1 trillion of
revenue. Yet both claim to have no effect on tax receipts; somehow, the
federal government is supposed to make up for the lost Obamacare
revenue. How, exactly? We are, again, given no hint.
And
there’s more: The budgets also claim large reductions in spending on
other programs. How would these be achieved? You know the answer.
It’s
very important to realize that this isn’t normal political behavior.
The George W. Bush administration was no slouch when it came to
deceptive presentation of tax plans, but it was never this blatant. And
the Obama administration has been remarkably scrupulous in its fiscal
pronouncements.
O.K.,
I can already hear the snickering, but it’s the simple truth. Remember
all the ridicule heaped on the spending projections in the Affordable
Care Act? Actual spending is coming in well below expectations, and the
Congressional Budget Office has marked its forecast for the next decade down by 20 percent.
Remember the jeering when President Obama declared that he would cut
the deficit in half by the end of his first term? Well, a sluggish
economy delayed things, but only by a year. The deficit in calendar 2013
was less than half its 2009 level, and it has continued to fall.
So,
no, outrageous fiscal mendacity is neither historically normal nor
bipartisan. It’s a modern Republican thing. And the question we should
ask is why.
One
answer you sometimes hear is that what Republicans really believe is
that tax cuts for the rich would generate a huge boom and a surge in
revenue, but they’re afraid that the public won’t find such claims
credible. So magic asterisks are really stand-ins for their belief in
the magic of supply-side economics, a belief that remains intact even
though proponents in that doctrine have been wrong about everything for
decades.
But
I’m partial to a more cynical explanation. Think about what these
budgets would do if you ignore the mysterious trillions in unspecified
spending cuts and revenue enhancements. What you’re left with is huge transfers of income
from the poor and the working class, who would see severe benefit cuts,
to the rich, who would see big tax cuts. And the simplest way to
understand these budgets is surely to suppose that they are intended to
do what they would, in fact, actually do: make the rich richer and
ordinary families poorer.
But
this is, of course, not a policy direction the public would support if
it were clearly explained. So the budgets must be sold as courageous
efforts to eliminate deficits and pay down debt — which means that they
must include trillions in imaginary, unexplained savings.
Does
this mean that all those politicians declaiming about the evils of
budget deficits and their determination to end the scourge of debt were
never sincere? Yes, it does.
Look,
I know that it’s hard to keep up the outrage after so many years of
fiscal fraudulence. But please try. We’re looking at an enormous,
destructive con job, and you should be very, very angry.
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